Explainer · Japan inbound

The Japanese tender offer, explained

How a take-private runs in Japan: the 30% TOB trigger, the squeeze-out vote, side agreements, and why bidding wars now happen

Written 3 September 2026 · All explainers

How to read the markers. [D] — verified from a source retrieved for this note, listed under Sources. [I] — industry-understood; not formally disclosed by a named party. [S] — our own inference or judgment. Every figure is either sourced or marked as an estimate.

The short version

A take-private of a Japanese listed company runs on one instrument: the tender offer bid, or TOB (公開買付け), a public offer to buy shares from every holder at one price for a fixed period, regulated by Japan’s Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA). Since 1 May 2026 a buyer must use a TOB to cross 30% of the voting rights — down from one-third — and the rule now catches purchases made on the exchange as well as off it. [D — see Sources]

The TOB itself only gets a bidder part of the way. The offer runs for 20 to 60 business days, the price can go up but generally not down, and the target’s board must publish a formal opinion within ten business days. What turns a majority into 100% is the squeeze-out that follows under the Companies Act: at 90% of the votes the buyer can simply demand the rest; below that it needs a two-thirds shareholder vote to consolidate the minority out. Two-thirds is the number every bidder actually plans around, and it is why side agreements with large holders — who promise not to tender and instead vote for the squeeze-out — decide more contests than the headline price does. [D for the thresholds; S for the emphasis]

Contests are now normal. KKR beat Bain for Fuji Soft in 2024–25 after four months of raised prices and extensions. In 2026 EQT and Digital Garage have raised their Kakaku.com offer three times against a Bain–LY Corporation proposal that has climbed from ¥3,000 to ¥3,520 (¥3,640 on a condition), while the target’s special committee has kept recommending EQT. That contest is unresolved as this is written (3 September 2026). [D]


1. When a tender offer is compulsory

Japan’s rule is a threshold rule, not a “control” rule. Two triggers matter under the FIEA. [D — Baker McKenzie, FSA FAQ]

  • The 5% rule. Buying more than 5% of the voting rights off the exchange, from more than ten sellers within 60 days, needs a TOB.
  • The 30% rule (the “one-third rule” until 2026). Crossing the threshold needs a TOB, whoever you buy from.

The Diet passed the amendment on 15 May 2024; the Financial Services Agency (FSA) published the implementing Cabinet Orders on 4 July 2025; the new rules took effect on 1 May 2026. Three independent law-firm notes give the same effective date. [D — DLA Piper, Funds-Axis, Nishimura & Asahi via IFLR] Two things changed at once:

  1. The threshold fell from one-third to 30%. Nagashima Ohno & Tsunematsu’s reasoning: 30% of the votes is “generally sufficient to block a special resolution” at a Japanese company, given typical turnout, so it is the level at which control begins in practice. [D]
  2. On-market purchases now count. Before 2026 a buyer could cross one-third by buying on the exchange without a TOB, because open-market trades were assumed transparent enough. That exemption is gone. The old “rapid acquisition” rule — which stopped buyers combining off-market and on-market purchases within three months — was deleted as redundant. [D — NO&T]

A fund that used to build a 34% stake quietly on the market must now launch a public offer at 30%, on the same terms to everyone. [S] A small exemption remains for purchases raising a holding by less than 0.5%, provided none were made in the previous six months. [D — Funds-Axis]


2. Inside the offer period

The FSA’s own FAQ sets out the mechanics. [D — FSA FAQ on the FIEA, section 4]

  • Period. The offeror picks between 20 and 60 business days. Business days, not calendar days: a 60-business-day offer runs about three months.
  • Target’s extension right. If the offeror chose fewer than 30 business days and the target opposes the bid, the target can demand an extension to 30 business days, and no other length.
  • Price changes. Changes that disadvantage tendering holders are prohibited: the price may rise but not fall, except to adjust for a stock split or similar corporate action disclosed at the start. The 2026 rules add a narrow downward adjustment for dividends paid during the offer. [D — FSA FAQ; DLA Piper]
  • Conditions. An offeror may set a minimum number of shares (below which it buys nothing) and, in some structures, a maximum. In a take-private the minimum is the number that guarantees the squeeze-out vote — see section 4.
  • Withdrawal. Allowed only for a material change in the target’s business or assets, or if the target adopts a defence such as a large share issue or asset disposal. The 2026 rules also allow withdrawal if the target adopts new takeover defences after the offer starts. [D — FSA FAQ; DLA Piper]
  • Beyond 60 days. The 60-day cap can now be waived by the authorities on a case-by-case request. [D — DLA Piper] The Kakaku.com offer, launched on 13 May 2026, had run 85 business days by its 27 August 2026 amendment. [D — Kakaku.com filing]
The take-private path in Japan: tender offer, settlement, squeeze-out, delisting A left-to-right flow. Announcement, then filing of the tender offer registration statement, then an offer period of 20 to 60 business days during which the target must publish its opinion within 10 business days, then settlement. After settlement the buyer squeezes out the minority by one of two routes: a cash-out demand at 90 percent of the votes, needing only a board resolution, or a share consolidation passed by a two-thirds vote at a shareholders' meeting. Both end in delisting. A tender offer is compulsory at 30 percent of the votes from 1 May 2026. Take-private path · Japan · FIEA and Companies Act 30% of votes: tender offer compulsory from 1 May 2026 (was one-third) Announcement board-backed or not TOB registration price and conditions Offer period 20 – 60 business days price may rise, not fall · extendable Settlement majority held Squeeze-out minority cashed out Target's opinion report within 10 business days · support or oppose special committee · fairness opinion 90% Cash-out demand Companies Act Art. 179 board resolution, no EGM 2/3 Share consolidation Companies Act Art. 180 EGM special resolution Delisting · 100% dissenters may ask a court to fix the price; a fair process usually keeps the offer price (J:COM, 2016) The number bidders plan around 90% is rarely reached in one offer; index funds do not tender. So the minimum condition is set to reach two-thirds of the votes at the meeting, counting non-tendering holders who vote in favour. offer buys a majority · vote buys the rest
Figure 1. The take-private path in Japan. A tender offer is compulsory at 30% of the votes (from 1 May 2026). The offer runs 20–60 business days; the target must publish its opinion within 10. After settlement, the buyer squeezes out the minority by one of two routes: a cash-out demand at 90%, or a share consolidation passed by a two-thirds vote. Thresholds from the FIEA and the Companies Act as summarised by the FSA and the law firms cited in Sources.

3. The target’s side: opinion, committee, “fair process”

Within ten business days of the offer starting, the target board must file an opinion statement report (意見表明報告書): support, oppose, or abstain, with reasons. It may put questions to the offeror, who has five business days to answer. [D — FSA FAQ]

Behind the opinion sits a special committee of independent directors. Two METI documents shape how it works. The Fair M&A Guidelines of 28 June 2019 cover management buyouts and acquisitions by controlling shareholders, and set out the “fairness measures” — independent committee, independent advisers, a fairness opinion, enhanced disclosure. The Guidelines for Corporate Takeovers of 31 August 2023 extend the approach to any bid for control, and METI published supplementary “key points and Q&A” on 30–31 July 2026 while leaving the guidelines unchanged. [D — the guidelines are cited by their dates in Kakaku.com’s 12 May 2026 opinion report; the 2026 supplement via MLex] Since 22 July 2025 the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s listing rules also require a target in an MBO or parent-subsidiary take-private to form a special committee “consisting mainly of outside directors” and to disclose the committee’s entire opinion. [D — Chambers, MHM/NO&T]

What “fair process” is meant to deliver is a price the courts will not reopen. In the Jupiter Telecom (J:COM) case, decided by the Supreme Court on 1 July 2016, Sumitomo and KDDI had bought out J:COM through a TOB at ¥123,000 per share followed by a squeeze-out. The Tokyo District Court set a higher appraisal price of ¥130,206; the Supreme Court restored ¥123,000, holding that where the TOB was run through “procedures generally recognised as fair”, with measures to exclude arbitrary decision-making, the offer price is the fair price absent unforeseen changes. [D — Business Lawyers summary] The lesson for bidders and boards: an independent committee, a fairness opinion and a documented negotiation are what make the price stick.

Kakaku.com’s committee is the current model. Formed on 18 February 2026 with three independent outside directors, it took fairness opinions from Yamada Consulting and SMBC Nikko, pushed EQT’s price from an opening ¥2,300 through ¥2,440, ¥2,520, ¥2,600 and ¥2,950 to ¥3,000, and then had to weigh Bain–LY’s rival proposals. [D — Kakaku.com opinion report, 12 May 2026]


4. The squeeze-out: two routes, one number

A successful TOB leaves a minority. The Companies Act offers two ways to remove it. [D — Baker McKenzie; Monolith Law]

Route Threshold Approval needed Minority remedy Source
Demand for share cash-out by a “special controlling shareholder” (Art. 179) 90% of voting rights Board of the target only; no shareholder meeting Petition to court for price determination (Art. 179-8) Baker McKenzie; Monolith
Share consolidation (Art. 180) Two-thirds of votes at a shareholders’ meeting (special resolution) Extraordinary general meeting Right to demand purchase and court price petition (Arts. 182-4, 182-5) Baker McKenzie; Monolith; Kakaku.com filing

The 90% route is faster: no meeting, a board resolution and notice. But 90% is hard to reach in one TOB when index funds hold a large slice and, as a rule, do not tender. So the working target is two-thirds: enough to pass the share-consolidation resolution that turns every minority holding into a fraction of a share, paid out in cash at the TOB price. [D for the mechanism; I for index-fund behaviour, which the Kakaku.com filing itself cites from METI’s 2019 guidelines]

That is why the minimum tender condition looks odd to a foreign reader. EQT’s vehicle set its Kakaku.com minimum at 34,941,000 shares (17.51%), far below a majority. Add the 38.05% held by Digital Garage and KDDI, who agreed not to tender but to vote for the consolidation, and the filing’s survey of which passive funds would vote in favour, and the bidder reaches two-thirds of the votes at the meeting without ever buying two-thirds of the shares. [D — Kamgras 1 commencement notice] KKR’s second Fuji Soft offer had a minimum of just 19.25%, the amount that, added to its first-stage stake, cleared the same bar; it finished at 57.92% and moved to a squeeze-out meeting in late April 2025. [D — KKR completion release]

Dissenting holders can ask a court to fix the price. After J:COM, the answer is usually the TOB price if the process was fair. [D — see section 3]


5. Large holders and side agreements

Because the squeeze-out is a vote, a large holder is worth more to a bidder as a vote than as a seller. Two contracts do the work.

  • Non-tender agreement (不応募契約). The holder promises not to tender and to vote for the squeeze-out. The bidder pays nothing for those shares at the TOB stage.
  • Rollover. After the squeeze-out, the holder’s shares are bought back by the target itself, and the holder re-invests some of the proceeds into the acquisition vehicle.

Kakaku.com shows both. Digital Garage (20.50%) and KDDI (17.55%) signed non-tender agreements on 12 May 2026. After the share consolidation, Kakaku.com will buy back their shares at ¥2,439 — below the ¥3,000 TOB price, because a buy-back is taxed as a deemed dividend and the filing sets the price so that their post-tax proceeds match what they would receive by tendering. Digital Garage then re-invests to hold about 20% of the bidco’s parent. [D — Digital Garage notice; Kamgras 1 filing]

Why this matters to a bidder: a 20% holder who sells costs 20% of the equity cheque and adds nothing to the vote after settlement. A 20% holder who rolls cuts the cheque, delivers 20% of the votes for the consolidation, and — in Kakaku.com’s case — makes a rival bid structurally harder, because the rival cannot reach two-thirds without KDDI. That is exactly the argument Oasis Management (about 19.5%) and Bain–LY made against it: Bain–LY’s ¥3,640 is conditional on a non-tender agreement with KDDI, which they say becomes possible only if EQT’s offer fails and KDDI’s obligations lapse. [D — LY Corporation notice, 21 Aug 2026; Oasis release, 18 Aug 2026] That is recorded here as the two sides’ positions, not as a finding.

All of this is public. The agreements, the buy-back price and the re-investment are disclosed in the tender offer registration statement and the parties’ own TDnet notices; the 2026 amendments also add “material agreements relating to the shares” to large shareholding reports. [D — DLA Piper]


6. Contested bids: how a bidding war runs

A competing bid changes three things. The target’s committee must reconsider (Kakaku.com’s agreement with EQT lets the board ask for a higher price when a “qualified competing proposal” appears, and withdraw support if EQT does not match within ten business days) [D — LY notice, summarising the registration statement]; the incumbent bidder may raise and extend but not lower; and shareholders can simply wait, since tendered shares can be withdrawn and a raised price applies to everyone.

Resolved: Fuji Soft, 2024–25. KKR announced a board-backed offer on 8 August 2024 at ¥8,800, and secured 33.97% in a first stage when 3D Investment Partners and Farallon tendered. Its second stage opened at ¥9,451. Bain, having been rebuffed, went to ¥9,600 in December 2024 and kept going after the board rejected it, citing “strong concerns and distrust”. The board backed KKR on 17 December 2024, arguing a second large holder would create “deadlock” and that Bain’s premium did not justify a three-month delay. KKR extended twice, raised to ¥9,850 on 4 February 2025, and closed on 19 February 2025 at 57.92% — more than four months later than planned. Bain withdrew. [D — Reuters via Business Standard; KKR completion release; Stock Titan reprints of KKR releases; IFLR]

Live: Kakaku.com, 2026. The step chart below shows the sequence. The unaffected price is ¥2,121, the close on 22 April 2026, the day before press reports of a deal. [D — Kakaku.com opinion report; EQT release]

Date (2026) Bidder Price per share Note Source
7 May Bain–LY ¥3,000 Non-binding proposal, no due diligence Kamgras 1 notice
12–13 May EQT–Digital Garage ¥3,000 Offer launched 13 May; 37 business days to 2 July; board and committee recommend Kamgras 1 notice; EQT
13 May Bain–LY ¥3,292 Revised proposal LY notice
1 July Bain–LY ¥3,384 Board asks EQT to discuss a raise EQT release; LY notice
17 July EQT ¥3,450 Offer extended to 3 August EQT release; BigGo
29 July Bain–LY ¥3,520 (¥3,640 if KDDI signs a non-tender agreement) Tender agreement with Oasis; offer planned for mid-September, subject to board support LY notice
13 Aug EQT ¥3,570 Extended to 27 August (75 business days) EQT release; Kakaku.com filing
18–20 Aug Oasis Will not tender below ¥3,640; its agreement with Bain–LY expires 20 August Oasis; LY notice
27 Aug EQT ¥3,571 Period extended to 85 business days; settlement from 17 September; committee’s recommendation unchanged Kakaku.com filings 27–28 Aug
Kakaku.com price ladder, April to August 2026: EQT–Digital Garage tender offer versus Bain–LY proposal A step chart with dates on the horizontal axis from mid-April to mid-September 2026 and yen per share on the vertical axis from 2,000 to 3,800. The unaffected close of 2,121 yen on 22 April is a dashed grey line. Bain–LY's proposal steps from 3,000 yen on 7 May to 3,292 on 13 May, 3,384 on 1 July and 3,520 on 29 July, with a dashed gold line at 3,640 conditional on a KDDI non-tender agreement. EQT's tender offer price steps from 3,000 yen on 12 May to 3,450 on 17 July, 3,570 on 13 August and 3,571 on 27 August. The contest was unresolved on 3 September 2026. Kakaku.com · contested take-private · 2026 · ¥ per share ¥2,000 ¥2,500 ¥3,000 ¥3,500 May Jun Jul Aug Sep 2026 · announcement dates ¥2,121 · close on 22 Apr, before press reports ¥3,000 · 7 May Bain–LY ¥3,292 · 13 May ¥3,384 · 1 Jul ¥3,520 · 29 Jul ¥3,640 if KDDI signs a non-tender agreement EQT–Digital Garage tender offer ¥3,000 · launched 13 May ¥3,450 · 17 Jul ¥3,570 · 13 Aug ¥3,571 · 27 Aug EQT–Digital Garage · tender offer price (Kamgras 1 K.K.) Bain–LY · proposal price (BCPE Blitz Cayman, offer planned mid-Sep) Unresolved as of 3 September 2026 · EQT offer extended to 85 business days
Figure 2. The Kakaku.com price ladder, April–August 2026. Solid steps are the EQT–Digital Garage tender offer price (blue) and the Bain–LY proposal price (gold); the dashed gold line is Bain–LY's ¥3,640, conditional on a KDDI non-tender agreement; the dashed grey line is the ¥2,121 close on 22 April 2026. Prices and dates from the parties' TDnet notices and EQT press releases listed in Sources; the contest is unresolved as of 3 September 2026.

Whatever the result, two features are already clear. The price moved by committee, not by auction: each Bain–LY step triggered a formal request to EQT under the tender offer agreement. And the fight is really about the two-thirds vote: KDDI’s 17.55% decides whether a ¥3,640 offer can exist at all. [S — our reading of the filings]


7. How much of this is happening

Measure Figure Period Source
Listed-company MBOs 30 (up about 70% on 2024), a record 2025 Nikkei, 17 Feb 2026
TOBs and MBOs premised on delisting 112 2025 Nikkei, 17 Feb 2026
Delistings via M&A or group reorganisation 142 2025 MARR (Recof Data)
Public-to-private deals about 30, roughly double 2023 2024 Chambers PE 2025 (MHM/NO&T)
Foreign financial-sponsor transactions 108 deals, ¥2.8tn (up 320% on H1 2024) H1 2025 Chambers PE 2025
All M&A involving Japanese companies 5,115 deals (+8.8%); value +74.7% 2025 Recof
All M&A involving Japanese companies 4,700 deals; US$131.3bn 2024 IFLR (Nishimura & Asahi), citing Recof
Foreign acquisitions of Japanese companies (OUT-IN) 208 deals (+24.6%); 99 by US buyers 2024 JETRO Invest Japan Report 2025, citing MARR

The categories overlap and come from different providers, so read them as scale, not as one series. The direction is not in doubt: more take-privates, more of them by foreign sponsors, and — per Nikkei — more disputes over price, with activists intervening to argue the offer is “too low”. [D for the figures; S for the summary]

Caveats

  • Enforcement date. The 1 May 2026 date is confirmed by three law-firm sources; the FSA’s own English notice would not load this session and is not cited. Funds-Axis dates the Cabinet Office Ordinances to 1 July 2025 and DLA Piper the FSA’s finalised orders to 4 July 2025; both may be right (promulgation versus publication), and the difference is recorded rather than resolved.
  • Statutory text. The Companies Act and FIEA English translations on japaneselawtranslation.go.jp returned errors this session. Article numbers and thresholds are taken from the FSA’s FAQ, Baker McKenzie, Monolith Law and the Kakaku.com filings (which cite Article 180), not from the statute itself.
  • METI guidelines. METI’s own pages were blocked this session. The 2019 and 2023 guidelines are dated from Kakaku.com’s opinion report, which cites them, and from Third Arrow Strategies and MLex; their content is summarised from those and from the Chambers guide.
  • Kakaku.com is live. Every price and date is from filings and releases retrieved on 3 September 2026. The result of the extended EQT offer, whether Bain–LY launches in mid-September, and whether KDDI’s agreement lapses are unknown. Nothing here predicts the outcome.
  • Fuji Soft. Bain’s ¥9,600 is from a Reuters report carried by Business Standard; Bain’s own release was not retrieved. The founder family’s position is not described because no source for it loaded.
  • J:COM. The Supreme Court holding is taken from a Japanese-language practitioner summary; no English law-firm summary loaded this session.
  • The extension past 60 business days. The filings record the Kakaku.com offer running to 85 business days; the legal basis for that extension is not stated in the pages retrieved, and the link to the 2026 waiver power is our inference.
  • Volume figures come from three providers with different definitions of “MBO” and “take-private”; MARR itself notes definitional confusion.

Sources [D]

All retrieved and confirmed to load on 3 September 2026.

The TOB rule and its 2024 amendment

Squeeze-out and appraisal

Target-side guidelines

Kakaku.com contest — primary filings and releases

Fuji Soft contest

Volume